Shigeru Ishiba, former defence minister, is poised to become Japan’s next prime minister after winning the Liberal Democratic Party’s (LDP) leadership vote. Ishiba will succeed Fumio Kishida, who stepped down following scandals that damaged his tenure. With the LDP holding a majority in the lower house, Ishiba’s path to the role is effectively secured. He edged out economic security minister Sanae Takaichi by a narrow margin of 21 votes in the leadership race.
Early Life and Education
Born on February 4, 1957, Shigeru Ishiba grew up in Tottori Prefecture, where his father was a government official and later governor. After studying law at Keio University, Ishiba worked at Mitsui Bank before transitioning to politics in 1983.
Political Career
In 1986, Ishiba became the youngest member of the House of Representatives as a candidate from the LDP. Despite his long affiliation, he often clashed with party views, even defecting to the Japan Renewal Party (1993-1996) before rejoining the LDP. Over his career, he held portfolios including defence minister and minister for revitalizing the local economy. This leadership victory marks his fifth attempt to lead the LDP.
Key Policy Positions
Ishiba aims to address rising inflation, improve wages, and reduce nuclear energy dependence. He also plans to tackle Japan’s low birth rate by expanding support for parents and boosting regional economies. His focus on security issues includes addressing threats from China and North Korea. He advocates a more independent defence policy, proposing Japan lead an “Asian NATO” and seeking greater oversight of US military bases in Japan.
Challenges Ahead
Ishiba must navigate public discontent over rising living costs and Japan’s volatile security environment. He also faces challenges from within the LDP, where his socially progressive stance on issues like allowing married couples to use separate surnames has sparked debate.
US-Japan Relations
Ishiba’s approach to reducing Japan’s reliance on the US for defence may strain ties with Washington. His push for Japan to have a say in the US use of nuclear weapons in Asia and his stance on military bases in Okinawa reflect his broader vision for a more assertive Japan.
Economic and Fiscal Policies
Ishiba has softened his opposition to nuclear power, proposing to keep some reactors operational while supporting renewable energy. As a fiscal conservative, he emphasizes respecting the Bank of Japan’s independence, though he remains cautious about further interest rate hikes.
