The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has approved a Rs 87,416 crore surplus transfer to the government for the fiscal year 2022-23. This is nearly three times the amount sent the previous year, which was Rs 30,307 crore. The surge in surplus is attributed to increased income from the sale of foreign exchange reserves. Despite facing challenges such as rising yields on US treasuries, the RBI’s surplus transfer is expected to provide a significant boost to the government’s revenue.
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Higher Surplus Transfer Driven by Foreign Exchange Sales:
Economists have pointed out that the benefits from record gross foreign exchange sales in fiscal year 2022-23 are the primary driver of the bumper surplus transfer. The RBI’s sales of foreign exchange reserves, estimated to be around $206 million until February 2023, significantly contributed to the increased surplus. However, the profits were partially offset by higher provisioning on mark-to-market losses on foreign securities. Additionally, the higher contingency buffer of 6 percent, compared to 5.5 percent in the past, also impacted the profit margin.
Offsetting Revenue Losses and Budget Expectations:
The surplus transfer of Rs 87,416 crore from the RBI to the federal government is estimated to generate an additional 0.2 percent of GDP in revenue. This infusion of funds could help partially offset possible revenue losses due to lower tax revenues and divestment. The surplus amount aligns with the expectations set by the Union Budget, which estimated a surplus of Rs 48,000 crore from the central bank, public sector banks, and financial institutions for the current year.
Impact of Global and Domestic Economic Situation:
During its meeting, the RBI’s board reviewed the global and domestic economic situation, including the influence of current geopolitical developments. The central bank acknowledged the issues and pondered on its performance in fiscal year 2022-23. The approval of the Annual Report and accounts of the RBI for this period reflects the board’s confidence in the bank’s operations. Furthermore, the decision to maintain the contingency risk buffer at 6 percent demonstrates the RBI’s commitment to prudential financial management.